CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 4Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
Full time
What was the result of CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
CD Motagua won 4-1 on August 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′Rodrigo De Olivera DonadoCD Motagua
- 37′J. SerranoCD Motagua
- 45′R. GómezCD Motagua
- 73′Rodrigo De Olivera DonadoCD Motagua
- 86′D. CarterLobos Upnfm
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a CD Motagua win at 65%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
CD Motagua
- 7J. Serrano
- 10R. Gómez
- 19Rodrigo De Olivera Donado
- 5O. Discua
- 23A. Reyes
- 27J. Macías
- 3P. Cacho
- 4L. Vega
- 17J. Portillo
- 26L. Santamaria
- 22L. Ortiz
Lobos Upnfm
- 7L. Hurtado
- 11S. Elvir
- 77C. Mejía
- 6J. Ponce
- 8J. Núñez
- 2D. Suazo
- 3G. Rodas
- 4J. García
- 5A. Zúñiga
- 24O. Elvir
- 12A. Güity
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Motagua have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lobos Upnfm have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Estrella Roja(home) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FAS(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estrella Roja(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olancho(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| May 1, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CD Motagua wins, 2 draws, 2 Lobos Upnfm wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm 2-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 11, 2026 | CD Motagua 2-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm 0-0 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2025 | CD Motagua 3-3 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm 2-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CD Motagua 5-0 Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CD Motagua score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos Upnfm score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Motagua | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lobos Upnfm | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Motagua sit 3rd in Liga Nacional (25 points from 12 matches) and Lobos Upnfm sit 7th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CD Motagua | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 | Lobos Upnfm | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
A question about CD Motagua vs Lobos Upnfm?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy