CD Motagua vs Real Espana: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - Preliminary Semi-finalsKick-off on November 22, 2012 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino, Tegucigalpa
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What was the result of CD Motagua vs Real Espana?
CD Motagua won 3-2 on November 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Melvin Yovany Valladares CastilloCD Motagua
- 28′G. WelcomeCD Motagua (pen.)
- 47′Gerson Daniel Rodas LeivaReal Espana
- 50′É. AlvaradoReal Espana
- 76′Nery Olvin Medina NoralesCD Motagua
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Motagua have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Real Espana have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Real Espana(away) | 4-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Atlético Choloma(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 9, 2012 | Deportes Savio(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 4, 2012 | CD Marathon(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 28, 2012 | CD Real Sociedad(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | CD Motagua(home) | 1-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Platense FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 9, 2012 | Victoria(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 4, 2012 | CD Olimpia(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Atlético Choloma(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CD Motagua wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Espana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Real Espana 1-4 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 7, 2012 | CD Motagua 1-1 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Real Espana 1-0 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 18, 2012 | CD Motagua 2-0 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 22, 2012 | Real Espana 1-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Real Espana 0-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Real Espana vs CD Motagua on Nov 17, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
CD Motagua score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Espana score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Motagua | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Espana | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Motagua sit 4th in Liga Nacional (19 points from 10 matches) and Real Espana sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy