CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Central American CupSemi-finalsKick-off on October 29, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for CS Cartagines. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Olimpia wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines?
On Elo ratings, CD Olimpia has 1,916 points and CS Cartagines 1,874.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Olimpia
4-4-2- 21K. Peña
- 19Y. Arboleda
- 8E. Rodríguez
- 23J. Álvarez
- 20A. Maldonado
- 14J. Jean-Baptiste
- 2E. Hernández
- 3Clinton Bennett
- 18R. García
- 6F. García
- 1E. Menjívar
CS Cartagines
4-3-3- 22A. Hernandez
- 9J. González
- 6C. Montero
- 15L. Flores
- 31G. M. Morera
- 8D. López
- 4L. Olivas
- 20D. Mesén
- 12J. Quirós
- 18C. Barahona
- 1K. Briceño
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Olimpia have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; CS Cartagines have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | CD Olimpia(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2026 | San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 CD Olimpia wins, 0 draws, 1 CS Cartagines win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines 1-0 CD Olimpia | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 3, 2025 | CD Olimpia 3-1 CS Cartagines | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | CS Cartagines 1-2 CD Olimpia | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
Last archived meeting: CS Cartagines vs CD Olimpia on Oct 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CD Olimpia score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CS Cartagines score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 2.2 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| CS Cartagines | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for CS Cartagines.
- Where and when is CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines played?
- CD Olimpia vs CS Cartagines is played on October 29, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.