CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Central American CupGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
The Footlab model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Saprissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate CD Olimpia (1,833) and Deportivo Saprissa (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Olimpia have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olancho(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alianza FC(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 6, 2026 | UMECIT(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
CD Olimpia score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes CD Olimpia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo Saprissa.
- Where and when is CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- CD Olimpia vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on August 28, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.