Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20: prediction and stats
Copa do Brasil U20Quarter-finalsKick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceará U20 the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for São Paulo U20. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20?
On Elo ratings, Ceará U20 has 1,789 points and São Paulo U20 1,884.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceará U20
Not enough data to predict the Ceará U20 lineup.
São Paulo U20
Not enough data to predict the São Paulo U20 lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceará U20 have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; São Paulo U20 have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Goiás U20(away) | 1-2 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Goiás U20(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ferroviario U20(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Fortaleza U20(away) | 2-2 | Cearense U20 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atlético Piauiense U20(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | União TO U20(home) | 7-0 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Desportivo Brasil U20(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - U20 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União TO U20(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Desportivo Brasil U20(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Athletico PR U20(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Brasil U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ceará U20 wins, 1 draw, 1 São Paulo U20 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2024 | Ceará U20 4-3 São Paulo U20 | Brasileiro U20 A |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ceará U20 1-1 São Paulo U20 | São Paulo Youth Cup |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ceará U20 5-2 São Paulo U20 | Brasileiro U20 A |
| Sep 5, 2021 | São Paulo U20 1-2 Ceará U20 | Brasileiro U20 A |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Ceará U20 1-2 São Paulo U20 | Brasileiro U20 A |
Last archived meeting: Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20 on May 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ceará U20 score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; São Paulo U20 score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará U20 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| São Paulo U20 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceará U20 the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for São Paulo U20.
- Where and when is Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20 played?
- Ceará U20 vs São Paulo U20 is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, in the Copa do Brasil U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.