Ceara vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on July 2, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Bahia?
Ceara won 1-0 on July 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 4′Rafael CostaCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2016 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Oeste(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Joinville(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 15, 2016 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2016 | Oeste(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Tupi(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Londrina(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 14, 2016 | Criciuma(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ceara win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2015 | Ceara 2-2 Bahia | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2015 | Bahia 1-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Bahia 2-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Ceara 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy