Ceara vs Ferroviario: result 1-1 and analysis
Cearense - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 16, 2024 at 07:40 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Ferroviario?
Ceara and Ferroviario drew 1-1 on March 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′LourençoCeara
- 85′Matheus BahiaFerroviario (o.g.)
Official lineup for Ceara vs Ferroviario
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ceara
- FF. Barceló
- AAylon
- EErick Pulga
- RRichard
- RRaí Ramos
- RRichardson
- LLourenço
- GGuilherme Castilho
- RRamon Menezes
- MMatheus Felipe
- MMatheus Bahia
Ferroviario
- CCiel
- VVinícius Alves
- GGabryel Martins
- VVitinho
- EErnandes
- WWilker
- LLincoln
- WWillian Rocha
- GGeninho
- WWesley
- DDouglas Dias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ferroviario have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ferroviario(away) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ABC(home) | 2-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 3-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ceara(home) | 2-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Iguatu(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Maranhão(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Iguatu(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ceara wins, 1 draw, 2 Ferroviario wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ferroviario 2-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Ferroviario 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Ferroviario 3-0 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 19, 2021 | Ferroviario 0-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Ferroviario 2-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jul 19, 2020 | Ceara 1-0 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Ferroviario sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy