Ceara vs Ferroviario: result 1-1 and analysis
Cearense - 12nd Phase - 1Kick-off on January 30, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Ferroviario?
Ceara and Ferroviario drew 1-1 on January 30, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 36′Wellington RatoFerroviario
- 89′Samuel XavierCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ferroviario have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 2-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Botafogo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2019 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2019 | Flamengo(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Barbalha(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Pacajus(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Horizonte(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 16, 2020 | Floresta(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Caucaia(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviario score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Ferroviario | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Ferroviario sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy