Ceara vs Vitoria: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa do NordesteQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 25, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Vitoria?
Ceara won 1-0 on July 25, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 45′VinaCeara (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Vitoria have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2020 | CRB(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jul 19, 2020 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jul 16, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jul 13, 2020 | Barbalha(away) | 5-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2020 | Bahia de Feira(home) | 1-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Jacuipense(away) | 0-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2020 | River AC(home) | 4-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 12, 2020 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceara win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vitoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2020 | Ceara 1-0 Vitoria | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Ceara 2-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| May 20, 2018 | Vitoria 2-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Vitoria 1-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Ceara 1-2 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Vitoria 1-1 Ceara | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vitoria | 1.3 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 2nd in Copa do Nordeste (10 points from 5 matches) and Vitoria sit 1st (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Ceara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy