Ceilândia vs Brasiliense: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 9Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, Ceilândia, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Brasiliense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceilândia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Brasiliense?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ceilândia (1,595) and Brasiliense (1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceilândia vs Brasiliense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Brasiliense
4-3-3- RRomário
- RRafael Longuine
- RRubens
- TTarta
- TTobinha
- MMarcos Júnior
- NNetinho
- GGustavo Henrique
- 6Keynan
- IIgor Morais
- MMatheus Kayser
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceilândia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Brasiliense have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Primavera MG(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Inhumas(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceilândia wins, 3 draws, 1 Brasiliense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasiliense 2-3 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ceilândia 0-1 Brasiliense | Brasiliense |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Brasiliense 0-0 Ceilândia | Copa Verde |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Ceilândia 2-1 Brasiliense | Brasiliense |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Ceilândia 1-1 Brasiliense | Serie D |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Brasiliense 0-0 Ceilândia | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Brasiliense vs Ceilândia on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brasiliense score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Brasiliense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceilândia sit 4th in Brasiliense (16 points from 9 matches) and Brasiliense sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Ceilândia vs Brasiliense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceilândia vs Brasiliense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Brasiliense.
- Where and when is Ceilândia vs Brasiliense played?
- Ceilândia vs Brasiliense is played on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.