Sobradinho EC vs Real FC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 9Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, Sobradinho, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Sobradinho EC the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Real FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sobradinho EC vs Real FC?
Sobradinho EC starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,537 vs 1,427).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sobradinho EC vs Real FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sobradinho EC
4-3-3- MMurillo Magno de Carvalho
- JJoão de Deus
- DDouglas Pitbul
- AAndrei Alba
- FFilipe Cirne
- WWerick
- JJaílton de Campos dos Santos
- RRicardo Ferreira de Sousa
- IIgor
- PPaulo Giovani Ramos
- LLeonardo Rodrigues Sales da Silva
Real FC
4-3-3- MMatheus Alemão
- EEmanuel Baitler
- GGuilherme Costa Macedo
- MMatheus Dias
- JJuan Alves
- RRaphael
- GGabriel Lima
- CCaio Mendes
- FFelipe Mendes
- DDavi Silva
- LLeonardo Lovo Teles
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sobradinho EC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real FC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 4-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Brasília(away) | 2-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Paranoá(home) | 4-5 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sobradinho EC wins, 0 draws, 2 Real FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Real FC 0-3 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Real FC 1-3 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Real FC 2-1 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 5, 2020 | Real FC 5-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Real FC vs Sobradinho EC on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sobradinho EC score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sobradinho EC | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Real FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sobradinho EC sit 3rd in Brasiliense (17 points from 9 matches) and Real FC sit 7th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sobradinho EC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Real FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Sobradinho EC vs Real FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sobradinho EC vs Real FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sobradinho EC the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Real FC.
- Where and when is Sobradinho EC vs Real FC played?
- Sobradinho EC vs Real FC is played on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.