Gama vs Samambaia: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 9Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, Gama, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Samambaia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gama vs Samambaia?
Gama starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gama vs Samambaia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gama
Not enough data to predict the Gama lineup.
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gama have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Samambaia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gama wins, 1 draw, 1 Samambaia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Gama 0-0 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Samambaia 0-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Gama 2-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Gama 0-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Gama score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gama sit 1st in Brasiliense (23 points from 9 matches) and Samambaia sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
A question about Gama vs Samambaia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gama vs Samambaia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Samambaia.
- Where and when is Gama vs Samambaia played?
- Gama vs Samambaia is played on February 27, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.