Ceilândia vs Paranoá: result 4-1 and analysis
BrasilienseMatchday 8Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, Ceilândia, Distrito Federal
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What was the result of Ceilândia vs Paranoá?
Ceilândia won 4-1 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′?Ceilândia
- 15′?Ceilândia
- 40′?Paranoá
- 77′?Ceilândia
- 90′?Ceilândia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceilândia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Paranoá have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Capital Brasilia(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Real FC(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Brasília(away) | 2-1 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 21, 2026 | ARUC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Capital Brasilia(home) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Ceilândia wins, 1 draw, 0 Paranoá wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Paranoá 1-2 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ceilândia 1-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Ceilândia 3-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Ceilândia 5-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Ceilândia 3-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceilândia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paranoá score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceilândia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Paranoá | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceilândia sit 4th in Brasiliense (16 points from 9 matches) and Paranoá sit 8th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Ceilândia vs Paranoá?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy