Gama vs Paranoá: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 1Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, Gama, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Paranoá. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gama vs Paranoá?
Gama starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gama vs Paranoá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gama
Not enough data to predict the Gama lineup.
Paranoá
Not enough data to predict the Paranoá lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gama have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Paranoá have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-6 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gama wins, 1 draw, 1 Paranoá win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama 4-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Gama 1-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Gama 2-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Paranoá 1-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Gama 0-4 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Paranoá 0-5 Gama | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Gama score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paranoá score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Paranoá | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gama sit 1st in Brasiliense (23 points from 9 matches) and Paranoá sit 8th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Gama vs Paranoá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gama vs Paranoá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Paranoá.
- Where and when is Gama vs Paranoá played?
- Gama vs Paranoá is played on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.