Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 1Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, Ceilândia, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sobradinho EC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceilândia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ceilândia (1,595) and Sobradinho EC (1,537).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceilândia
Not enough data to predict the Ceilândia lineup.
Sobradinho EC
4-3-3- MMurillo Magno de Carvalho
- JJoão de Deus
- DDouglas Pitbul
- AAndrei Alba
- FFilipe Cirne
- WWerick
- JJaílton de Campos dos Santos
- RRicardo Ferreira de Sousa
- IIgor
- PPaulo Giovani Ramos
- LLeonardo Rodrigues Sales da Silva
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceilândia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sobradinho EC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mixto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ceilândia wins, 2 draws, 0 Sobradinho EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Ceilândia 1-1 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Ceilândia 1-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Mar 5, 2020 | Sobradinho EC 1-3 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Sobradinho EC 2-3 Ceilândia | Serie D |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ceilândia 1-1 Sobradinho EC | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceilândia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sobradinho EC score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceilândia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Sobradinho EC | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceilândia sit 4th in Brasiliense (16 points from 9 matches) and Sobradinho EC sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sobradinho EC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceilândia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Sobradinho EC.
- Where and when is Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC played?
- Ceilândia vs Sobradinho EC is played on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.