Celaya vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Chapulineros?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chapulineros have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Celaya win, 2 draws, 0 Chapulineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros 1-1 Celaya | Primera Premier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Celaya 1-0 Chapulineros | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chapulineros 0-0 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Chapulineros vs Celaya on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 5th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Chapulineros sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 13 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Celaya vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Chapulineros played?
- Celaya vs Chapulineros is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.