Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid, Playa del Carmen
The Footlab AI model makes Inter Playa del Carmen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter Playa del Carmen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Inter Playa del Carmen (1,881) and Tapachula (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter Playa del Carmen
Not enough data to predict the Inter Playa del Carmen lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Playa del Carmen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tapachula have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Inter Playa del Carmen wins, 0 draws, 2 Tapachula wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tapachula 2-0 Inter Playa del Carmen | Primera Premier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen 1-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Tapachula 2-3 Inter Playa del Carmen | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tapachula 2-1 Inter Playa del Carmen | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Inter Playa del Carmen 3-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Inter Playa del Carmen on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Playa del Carmen score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Playa del Carmen sit 15th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and Tapachula sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter Playa del Carmen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula played?
- Inter Playa del Carmen vs Tapachula is played on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Mario Villanueva Madrid, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.