Čelik vs Zrinjski: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica
The Footlab AI model makes Zrinjski the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Čelik. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Zrinjski is a heavy favourite: 1,859 Elo points against 1,550, a 309-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Čelik vs Zrinjski
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Čelik
4-3-3- 99Anes Mašić
- 7D. Sijamija
- 27N. Tomašević
- 14A. Hrvanović
- 8Andrés Mohedano
- 88F. Gogić
- 17A. Omic
- 24H. Šabanović
- 19N. Smajlovic
- 6Amer Masetic
- 1A. Å utkoviÄ
Zrinjski
4-3-3- 25M. Ćuže
- 99N. Bilbija
- 77K. Abramović
- 17A. Ilic
- 20A. Ivančić
- 6I. Savić
- 4H. Barišić
- 12P. Mamić
- 15K. Stapić
- 19M. Vranjković
- 18G. Karačić
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Čelik have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Zrinjski have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 3-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 2-3 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(away) | 6-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Jadran LP(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Velež(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Čelik wins, 0 draws, 6 Zrinjski wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zrinjski 2-1 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Čelik 0-6 Zrinjski | Cup |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Čelik 0-2 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Zrinjski 3-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Čelik 0-1 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Zrinjski 3-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Čelik score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zrinjski score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Čelik | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zrinjski | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Čelik sit 6th in Premijer Liga (9 points from 9 matches) and Zrinjski sit 1st (24 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Čelik | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Čelik vs Zrinjski?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Čelik vs Zrinjski?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zrinjski the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Čelik.
- Where and when is Čelik vs Zrinjski played?
- Čelik vs Zrinjski is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bilino Polje, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.