Celje vs Nafta: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Nafta. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Nafta?
Celje starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs Nafta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 2P. Širvys
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nafta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 2-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Celje wins, 2 draws, 0 Nafta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nafta 1-3 Celje | 1. SNL |
| May 18, 2025 | Nafta 1-6 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Celje 3-2 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Nafta 0-0 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Celje 3-1 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Nafta 1-1 Celje | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nafta score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Nafta | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 7th in 1. SNL (12 points from 9 matches) and Nafta sit 6th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Celje | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Celje vs Nafta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Nafta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celje the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Nafta.
- Where and when is Celje vs Nafta played?
- Celje vs Nafta is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.