Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ljudski vrt, Maribor
The Footlab model makes Maribor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Olimpija Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Maribor (1,839) and Olimpija Ljubljana (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maribor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpija Ljubljana have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Koper(home) | 2-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maribor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Olimpija Ljubljana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| May 3, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Maribor 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maribor score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpija Ljubljana score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maribor sit 1st in 1. SNL (12 points from 6 matches) and Olimpija Ljubljana sit 7th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
- The Footlab model makes Maribor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Olimpija Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana played?
- Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ljudski vrt, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.