Nafta vs Brinje-Grosuplje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Lendava, Lendava
The Footlab model makes Nafta the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Brinje-Grosuplje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nafta vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Nafta (1,761) and Brinje-Grosuplje (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nafta have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Brinje-Grosuplje have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celje(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mura(home) | 5-2 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 2-4 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Koper(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-3 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nafta win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brinje-Grosuplje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje 2-1 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Nafta 1-1 Brinje-Grosuplje | 2. SNL |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Nafta 3-4 Brinje-Grosuplje | 2. SNL |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-3 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Nafta 0-2 Brinje-Grosuplje | 2. SNL |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-3 Nafta | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Nafta on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nafta score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brinje-Grosuplje score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafta | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nafta sit 10th in 1. SNL (0 points from 1 matches) and Brinje-Grosuplje sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nafta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Nafta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nafta vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
- The Footlab model makes Nafta the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Brinje-Grosuplje.
- Where and when is Nafta vs Brinje-Grosuplje played?
- Nafta vs Brinje-Grosuplje is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Lendava, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.