Celle Varazze vs Gozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gozzano the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gozzano wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Gozzano?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,639) and Gozzano (1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celle Varazze vs Gozzano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celle Varazze
Not enough data to predict the Celle Varazze lineup.
Gozzano
Not enough data to predict the Gozzano lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gozzano have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Fezzanese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Celle Varazze wins, 0 draws, 0 Gozzano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Celle Varazze 3-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gozzano 1-2 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Celle Varazze vs Gozzano on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gozzano score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Gozzano | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 18th in Serie D - Girone A (0 points from 6 matches) and Gozzano sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Celle Varazze vs Gozzano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Gozzano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gozzano the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Gozzano played?
- Celle Varazze vs Gozzano is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.