Biellese vs Valenzana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Biellese the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biellese vs Valenzana?
Biellese starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biellese have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Valenzana have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lavagnese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Biellese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Valenzana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Valenzana 0-2 Biellese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Biellese 2-0 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Biellese 1-0 Valenzana | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Valenzana vs Biellese on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Biellese score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Valenzana score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biellese | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Valenzana | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biellese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone A (57 points from 34 matches) and Valenzana sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 29 | 57 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biellese vs Valenzana?
- The Footlab model makes Biellese the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Biellese vs Valenzana played?
- Biellese vs Valenzana is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.