Celle Varazze vs Sanremese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Sanremese?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,728) and Sanremese (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sanremese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Derthona(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Celle Varazze win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sanremese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Celle Varazze 1-0 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Sanremese 1-1 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Celle Varazze vs Sanremese on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sanremese score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sanremese | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 9th in Serie D - Girone A (44 points from 34 matches) and Sanremese sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 49 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Sanremese?
- The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Sanremese played?
- Celle Varazze vs Sanremese is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.