Ligorna vs Biellese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Ligorna, Genova
The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Biellese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ligorna vs Biellese?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Ligorna (1,876) and Biellese (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ligorna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Biellese have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 5-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 10, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 9-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Asti(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ligorna win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Biellese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ligorna 2-1 Biellese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Biellese 1-4 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ligorna score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Biellese score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligorna | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Biellese | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ligorna sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone A (72 points from 34 matches) and Biellese sit 3rd (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 26 | 72 |
| 3 | Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ligorna vs Biellese?
- The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Biellese.
- Where and when is Ligorna vs Biellese played?
- Ligorna vs Biellese is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.