Celoricense vs Bragança: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, Celorico de Basto
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Bragança. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celoricense vs Bragança?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Celoricense (1,873) and Bragança (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celoricense vs Bragança
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Bragança
Not enough data to predict the Bragança lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celoricense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bragança have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Celoricense wins, 1 draw, 2 Bragança wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança 6-1 Celoricense | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bragança 1-1 Celoricense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Celoricense 1-2 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Bragança vs Celoricense on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bragança score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bragança | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celoricense sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (7 points from 4 matches) and Bragança sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Celoricense vs Bragança?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celoricense vs Bragança?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Bragança.
- Where and when is Celoricense vs Bragança played?
- Celoricense vs Bragança is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.