Match

Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónMatchday 41Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo

Celta de Vigo IILeganes

The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo II (1,937) and Leganes (1,854).

37%27%36%
Celta de Vigo II winDrawLeganes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Celta de Vigo II

3-4-2-1
  1. 9A. Marin
  1. 16Adrià Capdevila
  2. 11Ángel Arcos
  3. 15A. Kibet
  4. 29M. Sobral
  5. 10O. Marcos
  6. 23G. Miller
  1. 3K. Ribes
  2. 18Joel López
  3. 4S. M. Ndiaye
  1. 1Coke Carrillo

Leganes

4-4-2
  1. 9Álex Millán
  2. 21Álvaro Morata
  1. 22Álex Sancris
  2. 14Dani Rodríguez
  3. 20Miguel Atienza
  4. 17Ismaël Gharbi
  1. 4Rubén Pulido
  2. 2Marvel
  3. 3Javi Montero
  4. 5Ignasi Miquel
  1. 13L. Zidane

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leganes have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Celta de Vigo II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Burgos(away)1-2Segunda División
Oct 31, 2026Cordoba(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 24, 2026Girona(away)1-5Segunda División
Oct 19, 2026Tenerife(home)1-1Segunda División
Oct 10, 2026Real Sociedad II(home)4-1Segunda División
Leganes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 13, 2026Burgos(home)3-1Segunda División
Nov 10, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-0Copa del Rey
Nov 7, 2026Albacete(home)1-3Segunda División
Nov 2, 2026Valladolid(away)3-4Segunda División
Oct 24, 2026Mallorca(home)1-1Segunda División

How many goals should we expect?

Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Celta de Vigo II1.61.7310/159/15
Leganes1.01.646/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Celta de Vigo II sit 16th in Segunda División (13 points from 13 matches) and Leganes sit 18th (12 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Celta de Vigo II13346192513
18Leganes13337112312

A question about Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes?
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leganes.
Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes played?
Celta de Vigo II vs Leganes is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Celta de Vigo II and Leganes