Sporting Gijon vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 41Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,135 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 2,000 points and Almeria 2,103.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 27Enol Prendes
- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 4E. Gularte
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Almeria have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Gijon win, 2 draws, 3 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Almeria 2-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Almeria 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Almeria 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Almeria on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 5th in Segunda División (19 points from 10 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Almeria played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Almeria is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.