Celtic II vs Gretna 2008: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Excelsior Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic II vs Gretna 2008?
Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,368).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gretna 2008 have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 1-7 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Celtic II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gretna 2008 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | Gretna 2008 4-5 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Celtic II 5-3 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Celtic II 4-0 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gretna 2008 0-1 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Gretna 2008 3-3 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Celtic II 7-0 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Gretna 2008 vs Celtic II on Dec 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gretna 2008 score 1.3 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Gretna 2008 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic II sit 4th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Gretna 2008 sit 25th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtic II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| 25 | Gretna 2008 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic II vs Gretna 2008?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Gretna 2008.
- Where and when is Celtic II vs Gretna 2008 played?
- Celtic II vs Gretna 2008 is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Excelsior Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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