Celtic vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Falkirk?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 293-point Elo edge (2,154 vs 1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Falkirk have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 5-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Celtic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Falkirk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Celtic 3-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Celtic 2-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Falkirk 0-1 Celtic | Premiership |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Celtic 4-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Celtic 4-1 Falkirk | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Celtic 5-2 Falkirk | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (6 points from 2 matches) and Falkirk sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Falkirk played?
- Celtic vs Falkirk is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.