Celtic vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Falkirk?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,884).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs Falkirk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 9K. Høgh
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 11C. Durán
- 8B. Nygren
- 17S. Tounekti
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 63K. Tierney
- 47D. Murray
- 1V. Sinisalo
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Falkirk have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Celtic wins, 0 draws, 0 Falkirk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Celtic 2-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Celtic 3-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Celtic 2-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Falkirk 0-1 Celtic | Premiership |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Celtic 4-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Celtic 4-1 Falkirk | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (21 points from 8 matches) and Falkirk sit 11th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Celtic vs Falkirk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Falkirk played?
- Celtic vs Falkirk is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.