Celtic vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs Kilmarnock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 9K. Høgh
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 11C. Durán
- 8B. Nygren
- 17S. Tounekti
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 63K. Tierney
- 47D. Murray
- 1V. Sinisalo
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kilmarnock have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Celtic wins, 0 draws, 0 Kilmarnock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic | Premiership |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic | Premiership |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (21 points from 8 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 12th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Kilmarnock played?
- Celtic vs Kilmarnock is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.