Dundee Utd vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab model makes Motherwell the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dundee Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
Motherwell starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Motherwell have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dundee Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Motherwell win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Motherwell 4-3 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Dundee Utd 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 11th in Premiership (1 points from 3 matches) and Motherwell sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab model makes Motherwell the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dundee Utd.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs Motherwell played?
- Dundee Utd vs Motherwell is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.