Celtic vs Sturm Graz: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
Full time
What was the result of Celtic vs Sturm Graz?
Celtic won 2-1 on October 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′T. HorvatSturm Graz
- 61′L. ScalesCeltic
- 64′B. NygrenCeltic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sturm Graz have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Dundee(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Motherwell(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 2, 2025 | SC Braga(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 24, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | FC BW Linz(away) | 4-3 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | TSV Hartberg(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 24, 2025 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 21st in UEFA Europa League (11 points from 8 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 26th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy