Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for WSG Wattens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sturm Graz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens?
Sturm Graz starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sturm Graz
3-4-2-1- 14O. Diakité
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 19S. Seidl
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 28J. Heil
- 27L. Balbo
- 2J. Quarshie
- 30P. Koller
- 23A. Malic
- 22A. Helac
WSG Wattens
4-2-3-1- 8N. Frederiksen
- 6Marc Striednig
- 30M. Taferner
- 37M. Wels
- 11M. Şatin
- 17M. Olakigbe
- 28M. Oswald
- 23M. Boras
- 14D. Kubatta
- 3D. Gugganig
- 1S. Hamzić
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; WSG Wattens have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Celje(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ried(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sturm Graz wins, 1 draw, 2 WSG Wattens wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | WSG Wattens 1-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | WSG Wattens 1-0 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Sturm Graz 1-3 WSG Wattens | Bundesliga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WSG Wattens 0-3 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sturm Graz 4-2 WSG Wattens | Bundesliga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WSG Wattens 0-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; WSG Wattens score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| WSG Wattens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz sit 5th in Bundesliga (19 points from 12 matches) and WSG Wattens sit 7th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for WSG Wattens.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens played?
- Sturm Graz vs WSG Wattens is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.