Celtiga vs Sarriana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Salvador Otero, A Illa de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarriana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtiga vs Sarriana?
Sarriana starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtiga vs Sarriana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Sarriana
Not enough data to predict the Sarriana lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtiga have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Sarriana have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtiga score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarriana score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtiga | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sarriana | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtiga sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Sarriana sit 8th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sarriana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Celtiga vs Sarriana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtiga vs Sarriana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Celtiga vs Sarriana played?
- Celtiga vs Sarriana is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Salvador Otero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.