Cenicero vs Anguiano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Las Viñas, Cenicero
The Footlab model makes Anguiano the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cenicero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cenicero vs Anguiano?
Anguiano starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cenicero have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Anguiano have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | Varea(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Oyonesa(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Rapid de Murillo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Calahorra II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Marcial(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 3, 2026 | La Calzada(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Peña Balsamaiso(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Autol(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cenicero win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Anguiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Anguiano 4-0 Cenicero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Cenicero 0-5 Anguiano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cenicero score 0.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Anguiano score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cenicero | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
| Anguiano | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 36 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cenicero vs Anguiano?
- The Footlab model makes Anguiano the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cenicero.
- Where and when is Cenicero vs Anguiano played?
- Cenicero vs Anguiano is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.