La Calzada vs Calasancio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rollo, Santo Domingo de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Calasancio. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Calzada vs Calasancio?
La Calzada starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,551).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Calzada vs Calasancio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Calzada
Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.
Calasancio
4-3-3- EEduardo García Ballesteros
- DDiego Saez Salinas
- MMarcos Medrano Bodega
- DDavid Lozano
- DDavid Sacristan Moreno
- FFidel GarcÃa
- IIbrahima Korca Ba
- SS. Londoño
- ÁÁlvaro Huerta
- RRaúl Fernández Tamayo
- IIván López Villar
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Calasancio have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varea(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calahorra(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Anguiano(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 La Calzada wins, 0 draws, 2 Calasancio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Calasancio 1-0 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 13, 2019 | La Calzada 1-2 Calasancio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Calasancio vs La Calzada on Mar 1, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
La Calzada score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Calasancio score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Calzada | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Calasancio | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Calzada sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (12 points from 6 matches) and Calasancio sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
A question about La Calzada vs Calasancio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Calzada vs Calasancio?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Calzada the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Calasancio.
- Where and when is La Calzada vs Calasancio played?
- La Calzada vs Calasancio is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rollo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.