Central Espanol vs Boston River: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Central Espanol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston River wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Boston River?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Central Espanol (1,726) and Boston River (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Espanol vs Boston River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Espanol
4-4-2- 8F. Camarda
- 11F. Sosa
- 24G. Gandolfo
- 16I. Méndez
- 21L. Pino
- 7F. Munoz
- 17L. Fernández
- 21Nunes Cesar
- 3J. Dupont
- 14A. Villoldo
- 1F. Pintado
Boston River
4-2-3-1- 9F. Bonfiglio
- 5R. Saravia
- 26F. Muñoa
- 10A. Amado
- 17Marco Oroná
- 32Y. González
- 31J. Acosta
- 22F. Martínez
- 30M. González
- 15L. Vazquez
- 1B. Antúnez
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Espanol have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Boston River have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 0-6 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Espanol wins, 0 draws, 4 Boston River wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Boston River 2-1 Central Espanol | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Boston River 1-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| May 2, 2015 | Central Espanol 0-2 Boston River | Segunda División |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Boston River 1-2 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Apr 22, 2014 | Boston River 4-0 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2013 | Central Espanol 3-1 Boston River | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Boston River vs Central Espanol on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Espanol score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Boston River score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Boston River | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Espanol sit 16th in Primera División (8 points from 13 matches) and Boston River sit 11th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Central Espanol vs Boston River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Espanol vs Boston River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Central Espanol.
- Where and when is Central Espanol vs Boston River played?
- Central Espanol vs Boston River is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Palermo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.