Central Espanol vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 10, 2012 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Central Espanol won 1-0 on November 10, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 13′Oscar Gastón OtrerasCentral Espanol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Espanol have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Danubio have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Progreso(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Central Espanol score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Espanol sit 5th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy