Cercle Brugge II vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge II vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Cercle Brugge II (1,785) and Merelbeke (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Merelbeke have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cercle Brugge II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Merelbeke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-1 Cercle Brugge II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Cercle Brugge II 1-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Cercle Brugge II 0-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Merelbeke 4-2 Cercle Brugge II | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Merelbeke 0-0 Cercle Brugge II | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Cercle Brugge II 0-3 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge II sit 9th in First Amateur Division (14 points from 11 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cercle Brugge II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge II vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge II vs Merelbeke played?
- Cercle Brugge II vs Merelbeke is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.