Match

Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Mandel United: prediction and stats

First Amateur DivisionVV - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Katteberg, Bilzen

Spouwen-MopertingenMandel United

The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Spouwen-Mopertingen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Mandel United?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,898) and Mandel United (1,986).

Spouwen-Mopertingen win33 %
Draw24 %
Mandel United win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Mandel United have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spouwen-Mopertingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Hasselt(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Apr 26, 2026Diegem Sport(away)3-2First Amateur Division
Apr 19, 2026Zelzate(home)5-0First Amateur Division
Apr 12, 2026Cercle Brugge II(away)5-0First Amateur Division
Mar 29, 2026Tienen(home)0-2First Amateur Division
Mandel United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026VW Hamme(home)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 19, 2026HO Kalken(away)2-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 28, 2026Mechelen II(away)2-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 21, 2026Zulte Waregem II(home)2-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 14, 2026FC Lebbeke(away)0-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A

How many goals should we expect?

Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spouwen-Mopertingen2.11.776/1512/15
Mandel United1.70.776/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Spouwen-Mopertingen13742261725

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Mandel United?
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Spouwen-Mopertingen.
Where and when is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Mandel United played?
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Mandel United is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Katteberg, in the First Amateur Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spouwen-Mopertingen and Mandel United

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