Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 28Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Thes Sport?
Thes Sport starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Thes Sport 3-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2-3 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Thes Sport 0-3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 10 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Thes Sport played?
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Thes Sport is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.