Cerro Largo vs Cerro: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 5Kick-off on March 16, 2019 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
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What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
Cerro Largo won 4-1 on March 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. BrasilCerro
- 22′A. LimaCerro Largo
- 46′S. SosaCerro Largo
- 62′M. Luna DialeCerro Largo
- 84′A. MessidoroCerro Largo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Largo have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Cerro have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Rentistas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Danubio(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Cerro Largo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | Cerro 2-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Cerro Largo 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Cerro Largo 3-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Cerro 2-2 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| May 6, 2012 | Cerro Largo 1-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Largo score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerro | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Largo sit 12th in Primera División (17 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy