Cerro vs Club Nacional: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on April 28, 2024 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerro vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 1-2 on April 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 39′G. CarneiroClub Nacional (pen.)
- 61′A. MacelliCerro
- 70′C. OlivaClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Club Nacional have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Miramar(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2024 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 6-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Miramar(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2024 | River Plate(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cerro win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | Club Nacional 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Cerro 2-2 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Cerro 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Club Nacional 5-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Club Nacional 2-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Cerro on Oct 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Club Nacional sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy