Cerro vs Danubio: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on April 7, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Danubio?
Cerro won 3-2 on April 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 38′P. CeppeliniDanubio
- 44′D. TeransDanubio
- 49′G. PaivaCerro
- 78′M. FrancoCerro
- 90′M. FrancoCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Danubio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Atenas(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Penarol(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Progreso(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | Atenas(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Penarol(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Cerro 1-2 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Danubio 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Cerro 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Cerro 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Danubio 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Danubio 1-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy