Cerro vs Danubio: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Danubio?
Cerro won 2-0 on October 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 61′Juan Ramón Curbelo GarisCerro
- 78′H. SilveiraCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Danubio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2014 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2014 | SUD America(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Tacuarembo(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Fenix(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2014 | Cerro 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Danubio 2-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Cerro 3-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Danubio 1-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| May 19, 2012 | Cerro 1-2 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy