Penarol vs Atenas: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2014 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Atenas?
Penarol won 4-1 on October 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 8′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 14′Jorge Marcelo Rodríguez NúñezPenarol
- 61′Ángel Santiago Barboza ManzziAtenas (pen.)
- 88′S. PírizPenarol
- 90′M. ZalayetaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Atenas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2014 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2014 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2014 | SUD America(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | Fenix(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Rentistas(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atenas score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.0 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Atenas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy