Cerro vs Juventud: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 17, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Parque Capurro, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro and Juventud drew 1-1 on September 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 31′F. CariniJuventud (pen.)
- 69′P. CaballeroCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Juventud have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2016 | Boston River(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2016 | Fenix(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 29, 2016 | SUD America(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2016 | SUD America(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 28, 2016 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Juventud 1-3 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Cerro 4-1 Juventud | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Juventud 4-3 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Cerro 1-3 Juventud | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Cerro 2-3 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Juventud 2-2 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventud | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy