Cerro vs Juventud: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2015 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Juventud?
Cerro won 4-1 on October 17, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 7′Williams Guillermo Martínez FracchiaCerro
- 48′G. RamosCerro
- 62′Leonardo Gastón Puerari TorresJuventud
- 75′L. HernándezCerro
- 90′S. SilvaCerro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Juventud have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Club Nacional(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Villa Teresa(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2015 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2015 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | Juventud 4-3 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Cerro 1-3 Juventud | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Cerro 2-3 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Juventud 2-2 Cerro | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2013 | Juventud 4-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cerro 2-0 Juventud | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventud | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy